Data Science

From the first dataset to the recommendation that lands on a CFO's desk, we extract the patterns, quantify the uncertainty, and ship the analysis as a decision, not a deck.

We Find the Signal, Then We Ship It

The Data Science practice turns messy operational data into something a non-statistician can act on. Statistical analysis, predictive modeling, and the data engineering it takes to make the analysis reproducible. Notebooks are not the deliverable; better decisions are.

Every engagement starts where the data does: cleaning, profiling, and understanding before a single model is fit. We benchmark approaches, communicate the trade-offs honestly, and deploy whatever makes the call faster, cheaper, or more accurate. Customer segmentation, demand forecasting, causal analysis, experimentation, the thinking does not get outsourced.

Whatever the objective, customer experience, operations, market opportunity, the output comes with calibrated uncertainty. You will know when to trust the answer and when to gather more data.

Methods
20+
From classical regression to causal inference and Bayesian modeling
Data Sizes
Big or Small
From 200-row pilots to billion-row warehouses
Stack
Python · R · SQL
Plus dbt, Spark, BigQuery, Snowflake, Airflow, Tableau
Output
Decisions
Not notebooks. Plain-English recommendations with confidence intervals

The Full Stack of Data Science Work

Six disciplines we draw from on every engagement, from the first exploration through to the production-grade artifact that lives in your business.

Exploratory Data Analysis

Understanding the Data Before Modeling

Profiling, distributions, missingness, outliers, leakage, drift. Before a single model is fit, we know exactly what's in your data, what's wrong with it, and what story it tells. Half of every project lives in this phase, and that's deliberate.

Clean before clever
no model survives garbage data
Statistical Modeling

Inference, Hypothesis Testing, Regression

Linear, logistic, mixed-effects, generalized linear, Bayesian. When the question is "is this real?" or "by how much?", not "predict the next one", we reach for the right test, report the right interval, and resist the urge to p-hack.

Honest p-values
pre-registered, multiple-test corrected
Predictive Modeling

Forecasting & Prediction Pipelines

From demand forecasts to churn scores, lifetime value to defect prediction. Calibrated probabilities, prediction intervals, and clear baselines, so you know when to act on a number and when it's noise. Reproducible, versioned, deployable.

Calibrated intervals
predictions with their uncertainty
Data Engineering

Pipelines, ETL, & Feature Stores

Analysis is only as good as the pipeline feeding it. We build the data plumbing, SQL, dbt, Spark, Airflow, that turns raw operational data into reliable, governed datasets your analysts and models can both depend on.

Tested pipelines
data quality is a deliverable
Experimentation

A/B Testing & Causal Inference

Randomised trials, difference-in-differences, propensity scoring, synthetic controls. When you need to know whether something caused something, not just correlated with it, we design the experiment, run the analysis, and write up what's defensible.

Power-aware
we plan the test before we run it
Visualization

Decision-Grade Storytelling

The chart depends on the audience. We build dashboards, narratives, and one-pagers calibrated to the person making the decision, an executive briefing reads differently from an operations dashboard, and we treat both as deliverables, not afterthoughts.

Audience-first
no clutter, no “just-in-case” charts

What Data Science Looks Like In the Field

A representative slice of the questions our data science work has actually answered, and the decisions those answers unlocked.

SaaS & Subscription

Predicting and Reducing Customer Churn

A subscription business knew it had churn but couldn't tell why. We built a churn model on usage telemetry, surfaced the top three behaviors that predicted cancellation, and ran a controlled experiment that proved a targeted intervention reduced 30-day churn measurably for the at-risk cohort.

Targeted, not blanket
intervention only where it pays back
Retail & Operations

Demand Forecasting Across SKUs and Stores

A multi-store retailer was over-stocking everywhere and under-stocking in the wrong places. We built a hierarchical forecast across SKU, store, and week, with calibrated intervals and a feedback loop that incorporated promotion calendars and weather. Inventory cost dropped without raising stock-outs.

Hierarchical forecast
SKU-store-week, with seasonality
Marketing

Marketing-Mix Modeling & Attribution

A consumer brand was spending across paid, owned, and earned channels with no defensible attribution. We built a mixed-media model with adstock and saturation curves, validated against geo holdouts, and produced a budget reallocation that the CFO would actually sign.

Defensible attribution
geo-holdout validated

Five Rules That Keep Our Analysis Honest

Data science goes wrong in predictable ways, over-fitted models, p-hacked results, charts that flatter the author. These five operating rules are how we stay out of those traps on every engagement.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do you decide what's worth modeling versus what isn't?

We start with the decision the model is supposed to inform. If the decision can already be made well from a dashboard or a SQL query, we say so and don't build a model. If it can't, we benchmark the value of a better prediction in dollars or operational impact before committing to the work.

What deliverables come out of a data science engagement?

A written analytical report with the methodology, code in your repository, reproducible notebooks, a deployment if a model was the right answer, and a slide deck designed for a non-statistician audience. The data and findings sit in your environment; we don't host your data.

Can you work with messy or incomplete data?

That's most of what data science work actually is. We profile, clean, and document the data quality before modeling, and we tell you explicitly which decisions are well-supported by the data and which aren't.

How do you handle uncertainty and confidence in results?

Every estimate ships with a calibrated confidence interval, not a single point estimate. For predictive models we report calibration curves; for inferential work we report effect sizes with confidence intervals; for A/B tests we report power and minimum detectable effect alongside the result.

What if our data is sensitive (PHI, financial, classified)?

We work inside whatever boundary your regulatory profile requires: your VPC, your on-prem, or your secure enclave. For healthcare we sign a BAA and operate as a covered-entity sub-contractor. PHI never leaves the boundary you control.

Have a Question Worth Answering?

Bring us the question, the messy dataset, and the decision waiting on it. We'll come back with a one-page analysis plan: what we'll measure, how we'll know, and when you'll have the answer.